Determinants of regime survival in Africa

Abstract

Political instability has arguably been the most important factor that defined the African political landscape for the
past five post-independence decades. Few countries in the region were immune from the costly conflicts that
afflicted the region. It is perhaps no surprise then that a growing volume of literature on African political economy
chose to explain the lacklustre economic performance of the countries in terms of absence of political stability.
However, studies generally tend to downplay the diversities in the political economy trajectories of the different
countries in the region. By highlighting one such cross-country variation, this study analyses the determinants of
regime survival in Africa. More specifically, we apply survival analysis techniques to identify the institutional features
behind observed differences in regime survival. We find that colonial legacy as well as level of income is important
determinants of the hazard rates for regime survival in Africa.